The Winner: Biden or Trump?
The Winner: Biden or Trump?
In front of the presidential election in November, there are a lot of public opinion polls indicating presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump. Polls can indicate how people feel about a certain candidate at a particular time, they do not always predict the election outcome.
Below you will find some very key concepts to consider for the 2020 presidential election.
- Did the incumbent's party gained house seats between midterm elections - No
- Is there a primary contest for the incumbent's party - Yes
- Is the incumbent running for reelection - Yes
- There is no third-party challenger - Yes
- Is the short-term economy strong - No
- The long-term economic growth during the incumbent's term has been as good as the past two terms - No
- The incumbent has made major changes in national policy - Yes
- There was no social unrest during the incumbent's term - No
- The incumbent is untainted by scandal - No
- The incumbent has no major foreign or military failures abroad - Yes
- The incumbent has a major foreign or military success abroad - No
- The incumbent is charismatic - No
- The challenger is not charismatic - Yes
Look and analyze the answer to each concept. This results reveals to me that in just a few months, Donald Trump and the Republicans have moved from a position of what appeared to be an out-right win to a position of losing the election. What do you, an intelligent voter, think about the November election? Do election polls really tell the correct story of how an election will unfold?
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