Gulf System Could Bring Wet Weather to Alabama Gameday

Forecasters, weather enthusiasts, and Alabama football fans are keeping a close eye on the southwestern Gulf, where Invest 92L has formed off the coast of eastern Mexico. If the system strengthens into a tropical storm, it would be named Isaias.

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The Weather Channel said, “The environment is somewhat favorable for development, but wind shear remains a big question. Either way, heavy rain is likely.”

The potential track takes the system east-northeast before turning northward, and regardless of its development, heavy rainfall and possible flooding could impact parts of the northern Gulf Coast, the Southeast, and Florida.

Formation Chances

Here are the formation chances posted on Tuesday, October 6, at 8 a.m. from the National Hurricane Center.

Through 48 Hours: High | 90%

Through 7 Days: High | 90%

“Isaias has potential to be a high-impact event for the Gulf Coast and the state of Alabama, but it is important to note that it is still too early for a specific impact forecast for any place,” said James Spann, Alabama Weather Network Chief Meteorologist.

“There are many big events going on, including the National Shrimp Festival in Gulf Shores, the Alabama/Georgia football game in Tuscaloosa, and the Zach Bryan concert in Auburn," said Spann.

The National Hurricane Center said that residents “from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana should closely monitor the progress of the system.

Possible Saturday Weather Impacts

Everyone wants to know about game day Saturday and how this could affect the big Alabama–Georgia game scheduled for Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium, with a 6:30 p.m. kickoff.

Spann said, “Saturday isn't looking good this morning based on the latest model output; it will be a day with lots of rain, and potentially lots of wind. Maybe even some risk of a few isolated, brief tornadoes.”

Again, the forecast could change as we learn more about the system, including its strength, track, and timing. But right now, all signs point to a very wet Saturday.

The Townsquare Media Center is monitoring this developing weather system and will provide necessary updates leading up to the weather event and through the weekend.

Mary K. – Forecaster